Post-WW2 global order After World War II, the United States developed a system of allies, rather than vassals, making it the de facto leader of the free world. And rightfully so. Don’t get me wrong — America never shied away from imposing its will on other countries by force (the annexation of Hawaii is my favorite example), but compared to other contemporary powers like the Soviet Union, the US has indeed been a benevolent superpower....
Does America need a little bit of nationalism?
Despite being broadly unpopular with many on the right, America should be thankful to Franklin Delano Roosevelt. By introducing the right amount of socialism, he shielded America from communism. It’s easy to dismiss his policies from today’s perspective, but try to put yourself in the place of a lower-middle-class family in the United States during the Great Depression. How long would you endure the hardships before looking for solutions offered by extremists?...
Optimistic scenario for China
The last article sounded rather pessimistic about China’s future. But there’s a head to every tail, or yin to yang, given the topic this article is about. Therefore, today I will explore a more optimistic scenario for China’s future. China can draw from several strengths in its competition with the United States: education research advancements rapid development of high-end tech sectors social cohesion determination shaped by historical experience Let’s go through them one by one....
Who would win the US - China war?
Could a war between the US and China break out? Sure! Is China likely to win that war? Probably not. Not today, not in a year, not in ten years, and probably not even in fifty years. Now, the term “war” needs a closer definition. I don’t mean a limited confrontation in the South China Sea, where China could prevail due to its close proximity to the mainland. I mean an all-out war with the US over the position of the number one global superpower....
Assessing the odds of a hot war between the US and China
No matter where you live, a kinetic confrontation between the top two global military powers would impact you. For example, I live in Europe and although there would probably be no direct impact, the indirect consequences would be groundbreaking. The United States would be forced to reevaluate their commitments around the world, changing the security landscape overnight. Not to mention the economic impact on supply chains, global demand, and consumer sentiment....