China

The last article sounded rather pessimistic about China’s future. But there’s a head to every tail, or yin to yang, given the topic this article is about. Therefore, today I will explore a more optimistic scenario for China’s future. China can draw from several strengths in its competition with the United States: education research advancements rapid development of high-end tech sectors social cohesion determination shaped by historical experience Let’s go through them one by one....

Could a war between the US and China break out? Sure! Is China likely to win that war? Probably not. Not today, not in a year, not in ten years, and probably not even in fifty years. Now, the term “war” needs a closer definition. I don’t mean a limited confrontation in the South China Sea, where China could prevail due to its close proximity to the mainland. I mean an all-out war with the US over the position of the number one global superpower....

No matter where you live, a kinetic confrontation between the top two global military powers would impact you. For example, I live in Europe and although there would probably be no direct impact, the indirect consequences would be groundbreaking. The United States would be forced to reevaluate their commitments around the world, changing the security landscape overnight. Not to mention the economic impact on supply chains, global demand, and consumer sentiment....